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Here is the catch nobody mentions when they recommend the Forex Factory calendar for gold. Its green and red numbers are colored for the currency, not for gold. A green US jobs number is usually good for the dollar, and that often means pressure on gold.

Once you know that, the calendar becomes one of the most useful free tools a gold trader has. This guide walks through five steps. You set the calendar to your own time zone, filter for the rows that move gold, and read actual against forecast the gold way. Then you build a weekly map and size trades around the red rows.

Forex Factory is a third-party website, and PipsMorrow has no connection to it. Other calendars show the same releases. We use it here because many traders already do, and its layout is a clear way to learn how any economic calendar works.

Key takeaways

  • Set the Forex Factory time zone to your own local time once; it then handles the US daylight saving shift for you.
  • Filter to USD, high and medium impact, with speeches included, to see the releases that move gold.
  • Green and red describe the effect on the currency, so a green USD number often means pressure on gold.
  • Build a weekly map of no-new-trade windows in your local time, and re-check it every morning.
  • Recalculate lot size for the stop you would need around a red row; on a $2,400 account that can mean 0.01 lot.

What the Forex Factory calendar shows

The calendar is a table of scheduled economic releases and events, one row each. The main columns are the date, time, currency, impact, event name, and three data columns: actual, forecast and previous.

ColumnWhat it tells youWhat it means for gold
TimeWhen the release is published, in your chosen time zoneWhen spreads may widen and price may jump
CurrencyWhich economy the release belongs toUSD rows matter most, because gold is priced in dollars
ImpactA colored folder: Forex Factory's own rating of likely volatilityA starting point, not a guarantee
ActualThe number as published, filled in at release timeThe piece that creates the surprise
ForecastThe expected number shown before the releaseWhat the market has roughly priced in
PreviousThe prior reading, sometimes revisedContext, and a hidden source of surprise
Annotated schematic of one economic calendar row, labeling time, currency, impact folder, event, actual, forecast and previous
One row, seven pieces of information. The surprise lives in the gap between actual and forecast.

Impact folders

Each row carries a small colored folder. Red means high expected impact, orange medium, and yellow low. The filter also has a separate non-economic category for entries such as bank holidays. These ratings are the site's judgment, and a yellow release can still move gold if it surprises.

Event details and history

Opening an event's details shows background fields. These include the Source (the agency that publishes it), what it Measures, its Frequency, and a Usual Effect line. Forex Factory also launched dedicated event pages with the latest data and a charted history of past readings.

The Usual Effect line matters for gold, and step 3 explains why. For now, the point is that the calendar gives you time, currency, impact and the numbers, and you supply the gold interpretation.

Step 1: set the Forex Factory time zone to your own

Every other step depends on this one. According to Forex Factory's user guide, you click the clock in the page header to open the time settings. You can choose Match Automatically to use your device's time zone, or pick one from the list.

The guide also says the setting adjusts for daylight saving time automatically, and you can switch between am/pm and 24-hour time. Pick the time zone where you actually trade, not New York or anyone else's. The 24-hour format also helps, because it avoids confusing 1:00 a.m. with 1:00 p.m.

Why US release times move on your clock

US releases are set in New York time, and the US uses daylight saving time. In 2026, US clocks moved forward on 8 Mar and move back on 1 Nov. So every US release lands one hour earlier in UTC from March to early November.

Your own country may change its clocks on different dates, or not at all. The UK and the EU switched on 29 Mar and switch back on 25 Oct 2026, so for a few weeks a year the gap to New York shrinks by an hour. Places such as Singapore never change, so they see only the US shift.

Europe changes its clocks on different dates, so UK and euro-area releases shift against UTC on their own schedule
US releaseNew York time (ET)UTC, US summer (EDT)UTC, US winter (EST)
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)8:30 a.m.12:3013:30
CPI (consumer prices)8:30 a.m.12:3013:30
Weekly jobless claims8:30 a.m.12:3013:30
FOMC statement2:00 p.m.18:0019:00
FOMC press conference2:30 p.m.18:3019:30

The same 8:30 a.m. NFP release shows how much the local hour varies. In summer it lands at 13:30 in London and 20:30 in Singapore. In Sydney it lands at 22:30 in the southern winter, then 23:30 once Australian daylight saving starts, and 00:30 on Saturday after the US clock change.

Two time strips comparing US release times in UTC before and after the US daylight saving change
The same 8:30 a.m. New York release lands at 12:30 or 13:30 UTC, depending on US daylight saving.

The calendar handles this shift for you once your time zone is set. Check the time shown in the header against a clock you trust, and the rest of the calendar will be right.

Step 2: filter for the rows that move gold

An unfiltered week holds dozens of rows across many currencies. The filter panel lets you choose by expected impact, event type and currency, and then apply the selection. Forex Factory's list of impact filters includes high, medium and low impact expected, plus non-economic.

For gold, a practical starting filter looks like this:

  • Currency: USD. Gold is priced in dollars and driven largely by US real yields, so US releases dominate.
  • Impact: high and medium. Medium catches items such as PCE inflation and some Fed speeches that can still move gold.
  • Event types: keep speeches. Fed officials' remarks can shift rate expectations without any data at all.
  • Optional: add CNY or EUR if you want context on other large economies, but read them as background.

The course lesson on Economic Events That Move Gold ranks the US releases by how much they tend to matter. Start with that list, then let the filter do the sorting. A good filter shows you ten or fifteen rows a week, not a hundred.

Step 3: read actual versus forecast the gold way

The lesson on trading around the economic calendar explains consensus, actual and prior in general. The key idea is that the market moves on the difference between actual and forecast, not on whether the number is high or low.

Forex Factory colors the actual number to show that difference. Green means better than forecast, and red means worse. Those colors describe the effect on the currency in that row, which for gold is almost always the dollar.

The inversion

Better-than-expected US data usually supports the dollar and higher yields, and both tend to weigh on gold. Research backs up the direction. A 2012 study in the Journal of Banking and Finance by Elder, Miao and Ramchander used intraday gold futures data from 2002 to 2008.

The authors found that news of an unexpected improvement in the US economy tended to push gold and silver prices down. They also found the reaction was swift, and that the 8:30 a.m. releases, especially non-farm payrolls, had the largest impact.

Usual pressure, not a rule: several releases often land together and can pull in different directions
What the calendar showsUsual reading for USDUsual pressure on gold
NFP actual green (above forecast)Stronger labor marketDownward
NFP actual red (below forecast)Weaker labor marketUpward
CPI actual green (hotter inflation)Higher rates for longerDownward
CPI actual red (cooler inflation)Earlier or deeper cutsUpward
Previous revised sharply lowerWeaker than thoughtUpward, even if the actual looks fine
Diagram showing a green USD calendar number leading to a stronger dollar and higher yields, and then pressure on gold
Green on the calendar is good news for the dollar, which often makes it a headwind for gold.

Read the whole release

NFP arrives with the unemployment rate, wages and revisions in the same release. The calendar shows each as its own row, and they can disagree. The lesson on employment data and NFP explains which parts traders weigh most.

So the reading rule for gold is: find the surprise, work out what it does to the dollar and yields, then flip it for gold, knowing it won't always hold.

Step 4: build a weekly gold news map

With the filter set, switch to the week view on Sunday evening. Spend ten minutes turning the rows into a plan. The goal is to know, before Monday, which hours you will avoid opening new trades.

  1. List every red USD row with its local time and day.
  2. Mark a no-new-trade window around each, for example 15 minutes before to 15 minutes after.
  3. Flag the big ones, such as NFP, CPI and FOMC, for a decision on existing positions.
  4. Note any release that lands during your night, since you may be asleep.
  5. Re-check each morning, because speeches and schedule changes can appear during the week.

That morning re-check matters more than it sounds. During the US government shutdown in late 2025, the Bureau of Labor Statistics moved the September jobs report from 3 Oct to 20 Nov 2025. Dates can change, and a map built on Sunday can be wrong by Wednesday.

The result of this step is a short list. You should be able to say, for each day, the local times when you won't open a new gold trade.

Step 5: size your trades around the red rows

Knowing the time of a release only helps if it changes what you do. The biggest change is position size, because stops behave differently around high-impact news.

Gold trades as XAU/USD, usually as a CFD (a contract that tracks the price without delivering metal). One standard lot is 100 troy ounces, with 1 troy ounce equal to 31.1035 g. On this site's convention, one pip is $0.01, so one pip on one lot is $1.00.

Take a $2,400 account risking 1%, which is $24. With a normal 400-pip ($4.00) stop, the lot size calculator gives 0.06 lot. Now say you hold through NFP with a stop that survives the first spike, such as 2,400 pips ($24.00). The answer drops to 0.01 lot, the smallest size most platforms allow.

Account balance $2,400 at 1% risk; figures from the site's lot size calculator
SituationStopLot sizeMoney at risk
Normal session400 pips ($4.00)0.06$24
Wider stop for a medium-impact release800 pips ($8.00)0.03$24
Holding through a red USD release2,400 pips ($24.00)0.01$24

Try it now

Before a red row, enter the stop you would really need and see what size is left. If it rounds below 0.01 lot, the trade doesn't fit the account at that risk.

Stops are not guaranteed

Around big releases the spread, the gap between buy and sell prices, can widen sharply, and stops can fill well beyond their level. The lesson on execution and slippage explains why. Trading leveraged CFDs can lose you more than you planned.

The rule to carry away: a red row on the calendar is a reason to recalculate size, not just a time to watch.

What the calendar can't tell you

The calendar is a schedule and a scoreboard. It is not a forecast, and it misses some of what moves gold.

  • Unscheduled news. Geopolitical events and surprise comments never appear in advance, and they can move gold as much as any release.
  • The size of the surprise. Forecast figures are a guide to expectations, and the market's real expectation can differ from the number shown.
  • Impact ratings. They are general ratings for currencies, not gold-specific ones, so treat them as a first filter.
  • The quality of the reaction. A number can beat forecast and gold can still rise if revisions or wages point the other way.

For the official schedule of a specific release, the agencies publish their own: the Federal Reserve for FOMC dates and the Bureau of Labor Statistics for NFP and CPI. If you want to go deeper on FOMC decisions, read FOMC and gold. Use the calendar to know when, and use your own plan to decide what.

Frequently asked questions

What time zone should I use on Forex Factory?

Choose your own local time zone, or let the site match your device automatically. Forex Factory then converts US and European release times for you, including the one-hour shifts when those regions change their clocks.

Does the Forex Factory calendar list gold events?

The calendar is organized by the currency each release belongs to. For gold, you mainly track USD rows, because gold is priced in dollars and reacts to US data and Fed policy.

What do the red, orange and yellow folders mean?

They show Forex Factory's rating of expected impact: red for high, orange for medium and yellow for low. They are a useful first filter, but a low-rated release can still move gold if the surprise is large.

Why did gold fall when the US number was green?

Green means the number was better than forecast for the US dollar. Stronger US data tends to lift the dollar and yields, and that often weighs on gold. The colors describe the currency, so for gold you usually read them in reverse.

The PipsMorrow Team

A team of writers covering XAU/USD gold trading education. We focus on explaining the mechanics and risk management in a structured way, with no trade signals and no promotion of any specific broker.

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